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HISTORY:
- EXTINCTION VS. SURVIVAL -
(page 2)
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The bounty schemes:

    Following the introduction of commercial sheep farming into Tasmania in the 1820s, the thylacine was unfairly perceived as a vicious sheep killer, and relentlessly persecuted through a series of government and private bounty schemes.  The government bounty scheme ran from 1888 until its termination in 1908, although bounty payments continued to be paid until 1909.  The bounty scheme of the Van Diemen's Land Company (VDLC) ran from 1830 until its termination in 1914.  Numerous local bounty schemes ran in concert with the government bounty.  Over the 20-year period that the government bounty was in force, some 2,184 thylacines were killed.  Over the same period, 81 thylacines were killed at the VDLC property at Woolnorth, in the far northwest of Tasmania.  Totals for the various local bounty schemes do not exist, but a conservative estimate of around 200+ kills would be a fair estimate.

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Thylacines presented for government bounty annually 1888-1909
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thylacines presented for government bounty annually 1888-1909
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Source: After Guiler (1961, p. 208).
Click graph icon to view data:
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    Both the government bounty records and those of the VDLC property at Woolnorth provide evidence of a rapid population decline.  With specific reference to the government bounty, two distinct phases are apparent:

    Stable cull (Phase A-B):

    Between 1888 and 1905, the total number of thylacines submitted for bounty was 1954, with a mean of 122. 

    Population collapse (Phase B-C):

    Between 1905 and 1908/9, the total number of thylacines submitted for bounty was 230, with a mean of 46, indicative of a sudden population collapse. 

    Total A-C (N = 2184 mean = 104)

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Thylacines presented for bounty at Woolnorth 1888-1914
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thylacines presented for bounty at Woolnorth 1888-1914
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Source: After Guiler (1961, p. 209).
Click graph icon to view data:
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    Sleightholme & Campbell (2015) assert: "If we accept Guiler's population estimates, the annual bounty yield prior to 1905 appears to have been sustainable at around 4-5% of the population, and in the absence of any other factors, was unlikely to have pushed the thylacine towards extinction".

    Guiler (1985, p. 26) notes:

    "The catch of thylacines under the bounty scheme was steady at about 100 per annum until 1905 when the number fell dramatically, reaching zero in 1910.  The Woolnorth catches declined in the same fashion.  This final decline, which was very rapid and occurred all over the state at about the same time, is not typical for a species that has been hunted to extinction.  If the thylacine had been hunted to extinction, it is my view that it would be logical to expect the animal to disappear first from the places they had been most vigorously hunted since early settlement, but this did not take place."

Disease:

    Miller et al. (2009), in their pioneering work on the thylacine genome, demonstrated that ultra-low levels of genetic diversity existed within the thylacine population.  Sleightholme & Campbell (2015) state: "This is consistent with a founder effect, and would have impacted on the thylacine's ability to resist disease".  As a general rule of thumb, the greater the genetic diversity within a population, the greater that population's ability to resist disease. 

    An epizootic disease, often cited in the literature as being mange or distemper-like, decimated thylacine and other dasyuromorphian marsupial numbers in the last decade of the nineteenth and first decade of the twentieth century, persisting into the late 1920s.  From historical accounts, it appears to have taken the disease several years to spread from east to west coast populations. 

    The Mercury newspaper of the 19th October 1934 (p. 11) notes: "Disease, a type of mange, cleared the tiger.  There was not a specimen of this destructive animal left on the eastern side of the railway, nor on the banks of the Derwent or Tamar".

    Fred Burbury (1953) wrote:

    "About 1910 the thylacines seemed to disappear, also the indigenous cats, native cat and tiger cat.  I know a form of distemper killed the cats but I have no practical evidence that a similar cause killed the tigers.  The real fact was, the destruction of sheep ceased, and others with me thought it was because of distemper".

    In the Advocate newspaper dated the 10th February 1937 (p. 12), Mr. Alfred W. Burbury of the Animals and Birds Protection Board made the following comment when referring to the sudden collapse in thylacine numbers:

    "If the animal was extinct, it was through disease.  The last few caught some years ago were suffering from some form of mange, which also had been responsible for the destruction of many native cats".

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References
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